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Red49
1033219.7
7115.0
810324.2
Blue81
86853.3
856417.7
979016.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498302040601001201401604981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
19Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
12Foul points6
49Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8103
#23
24.20.9
14.313.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 29.1
868
#5
53.30.1
40.140.2
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Second
19.70.9
18.317.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 2.1
8564
#12
17.70.1
22.823.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
71
#38
15.01.5
18.116.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 1.6
9790
#24
16.60.1
10.810.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned