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Red92
29220.7
155515.6
150160.5
Blue111
427249.4
458012.8
4540.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007920406012014016092111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
63Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
1L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
92Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.0
49.349.3
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 11.1
49.43.3
33.436.7
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Second
292
#19
20.70.0
28.728.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 19.7
45
#4
40.42.0
26.928.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Third
1555
#28
15.60.0
9.29.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
red by 2.8
4580
#34
12.83.3
14.918.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed