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Red51
979016.6
448528.8
695621.6
Blue87
394049.6
843020.4
949121.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477902040601001201405187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+24
Endgame+32
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
31Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
8Foul points12
51Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#21
28.80.3
23.322.9
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
blue by 20.8
49.60.6
32.433.0
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
6956
#25
21.60.3
11.811.4
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
red by 0.2
9491
#14
21.50.6
19.720.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
9790
#24
16.60.3
10.910.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 3.8
20.40.6
17.618.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned