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Red72
101821.8
174728.7
348714.4
Blue67
400817.2
843115.5
7115.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585102040801001201407267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+3Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
49Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points6
72Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#13
28.72.1
26.528.6
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
red by 11.4
4008
#40
17.21.2
14.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Second
1018
#17
21.82.1
9.311.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 6.3
8431
#37
15.50.7
15.115.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
3487
#36
14.42.1
17.019.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
blue by 0.6
71
#38
15.01.2
17.819.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed