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Red35
1033219.7
155515.6
649816.6
Blue92
548427.2
856417.7
448528.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49720204060801001201401603592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+45
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
20Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points12
35Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.8
19.418.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 9.1
4485
#21
28.81.6
21.022.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
Second
6498
#39
16.61.4
15.414.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 10.6
27.21.0
25.826.8
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Third
1555
#28
15.60.8
12.711.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 2.0
8564
#12
17.71.6
18.520.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed