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Red90
4540.4
498211.8
23438.3
Blue82
1002133.6
217120.6
719819.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9963501509082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
74Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points14
90Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
40.40.5
35.335.8
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
red by 6.8
33.61.0
29.730.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Second
234
#10
38.30.8
35.836.6
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
red by 17.7
2171
#26
20.60.6
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
4982
#32
11.80.8
12.012.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 7.6
7198
#29
19.51.0
13.214.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed