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Red97
501034.6
400817.2
745434.0
Blue109
979016.6
7115.0
174153.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778920406010012014016097109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
65Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
2Foul points2
97Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#18
34.61.7
29.331.0
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
blue by 19.1
53.73.2
44.748.0
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
7454
#11
34.02.9
24.127.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
red by 17.4
9790
#24
16.63.2
14.217.4
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
4008
#40
17.22.9
15.618.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
red by 2.2
71
#38
15.03.2
19.022.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed