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Red124
949121.5
427249.4
979016.6
Blue73
348714.4
23438.3
400817.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382809010011012012473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
78Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
124Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.44.1
36.040.1
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 11.1
234
#10
38.30.5
36.636.0
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
Second
9491
#14
21.54.1
19.023.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 4.2
4008
#40
17.20.5
18.518.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Third
9790
#24
16.64.1
17.421.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 2.2
3487
#36
14.40.5
17.316.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed