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Red144
150160.5
174153.7
4540.4
Blue55
548427.2
843020.4
355910.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16356010015020025014455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+63Teleop
+77Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
74Total teleop36
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
12Foul points0
144Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.9
55.854.9
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 33.3
27.20.7
28.027.3
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Second
53.71.4
48.046.6
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
red by 33.3
20.41.1
20.919.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
45
#4
40.40.9
35.834.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
red by 30.0
3559
#35
10.41.1
11.210.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed