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Red29
856417.7
518817.9
7115.0
Blue83
172023.7
843115.5
217120.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665301001502002983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+40
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points14
29Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#33
17.93.5
19.516.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
blue by 5.8
1720
#27
23.71.5
20.221.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Second
8564
#12
17.73.5
18.014.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 2.9
2171
#26
20.61.0
16.317.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
71
#38
15.03.5
22.218.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 0.4
8431
#37
15.51.0
15.116.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned