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Red63
4540.4
811617.0
856417.7
Blue31
400817.2
945314.4
949121.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7854020401001201406331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
34Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
63Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
40.40.4
36.536.1
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
red by 18.9
9491
#14
21.51.9
22.520.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
8564
#12
17.70.5
17.216.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 0.4
4008
#40
17.21.9
17.615.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Third
8116
#20
17.00.5
13.412.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 2.6
9453
#31
14.41.4
12.210.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed