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Red84
810324.2
101821.8
23438.3
Blue102
874222.1
695621.6
174153.7
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731045015020084102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
66Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
84Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#10
38.31.5
36.037.6
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
blue by 15.4
53.70.6
46.647.2
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
8103
#23
24.21.1
17.418.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 2.1
8742
#22
22.10.6
21.622.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Third
1018
#17
21.81.5
14.516.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 0.2
6956
#25
21.60.6
21.422.0
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed