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Red52
843020.4
348714.4
498211.8
Blue125
349447.6
155515.6
86853.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47116010015020052125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +43
7Coral scored#19
25Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
39Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#7
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points6
52Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
19.819.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 32.9
868
#5
53.31.5
42.243.6
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Second
3487
#36
14.40.6
16.816.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
blue by 33.1
47.61.5
41.042.5
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Third
4982
#32
11.80.6
13.212.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 3.8
1555
#28
15.61.0
11.912.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned