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Red82
548427.2
979016.6
745434.0
Blue37
458012.8
1033219.7
15299.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90410501001508237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#5
50Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
64Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
7L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
82Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7454
#11
34.00.4
29.329.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
red by 14.3
19.70.5
19.018.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Second
27.20.3
27.327.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
red by 14.4
4580
#34
12.80.7
13.913.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
9790
#24
16.60.4
21.621.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 6.7
1529
#30
9.90.7
11.710.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed