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Red148
856417.7
394049.6
150160.5
Blue49
7115.0
1002133.6
174728.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1328105010015020014849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+79Teleop
+93Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave3
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
41Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points28
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
87Total teleop40
Reef
10L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
6Foul points0
148Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.51.8
54.956.8
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 26.9
33.63.0
33.030.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Second
49.62.6
45.147.7
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 21.0
1747
#13
28.73.0
28.525.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Third
8564
#12
17.72.6
14.517.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 2.6
71
#38
15.03.0
18.715.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed