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Red82
843020.4
1033219.7
1002133.6
Blue49
843115.5
15299.9
745434.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7455020401001201408249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
60Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
82Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.3
30.031.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
blue by 0.4
7454
#11
34.00.6
29.629.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
20.41.3
19.320.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 4.9
8431
#37
15.50.5
15.715.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
19.70.9
18.519.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 9.9
1529
#30
9.90.6
10.910.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed