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Qual 642025 FIN District Kokomo Event
Red55
172023.7
155515.6
498211.8
Blue144
174153.7
810324.2
427249.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43129010015020025055144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+77
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points33
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +56
8Coral scored#19
29Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
39Total teleop95
Reef
3L4#14
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
55Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#27
23.70.7
21.4→22.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
blue by 30.0
1741
#6
53.73.0
47.2→50.2
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
1555
#28
15.60.5
12.9→13.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 33.7
4272
#3
49.43.0
44.3→47.4
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Third
4982
#32
11.80.7
12.6→13.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 12.4
8103
#23
24.22.3
18.5→20.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned