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Qual 652025 FIN District Kokomo Event
Red48
719819.5
979016.6
348714.4
Blue122
101821.8
518817.9
86853.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64870204010012014016048122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+64
Endgame+76
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
7Coral scored#19
25Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
35Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
11Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
2Foul points0
48Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7198
#29
19.52.2
21.1→18.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
blue by 33.8
868
#5
53.33.2
43.6→46.9
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Second
9790
#24
16.62.2
21.9→19.7
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 5.2
1018
#17
21.83.2
16.1→19.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Third
3487
#36
14.42.2
16.2→13.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
blue by 3.5
5188
#33
17.93.2
15.5→18.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned