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Red133
874222.1
174728.7
150160.5
Blue128
29220.7
349447.6
448528.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11992406080100140160180200133128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+13
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +22
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
12Processor points12
8Net points28
20Algae points40
79Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#30
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
133Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.5
56.857.3
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 12.9
47.61.8
42.544.3
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Second
1747
#13
28.70.7
25.526.1
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
blue by 0.2
4485
#21
28.81.8
21.623.4
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
Third
8742
#22
22.10.7
22.222.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 1.4
292
#19
20.71.8
22.424.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed