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Red132
448528.8
150160.5
217120.6
Blue68
348714.4
810324.2
843115.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12248010015020013268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
21Coral scored#9
74Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
88Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#2
7L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
132Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.51.5
57.358.8
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 36.3
8103
#23
24.20.5
20.821.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
4485
#21
28.81.8
23.425.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
red by 13.3
8431
#37
15.50.5
15.215.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
2171
#26
20.61.5
17.919.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 6.1
3487
#36
14.40.6
13.914.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed