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Red61
355910.4
174728.7
155515.6
Blue78
695621.6
1033219.7
101821.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496602040801001201401606178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
41Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
61Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#13
28.71.1
26.127.2
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
red by 6.8
1018
#17
21.81.0
19.320.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Second
1555
#28
15.60.9
13.514.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 6.0
6956
#25
21.61.0
21.322.3
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
Third
3559
#35
10.41.1
8.39.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 9.4
19.70.8
19.520.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned