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Red35
458012.8
7115.0
498211.8
Blue58
874222.1
949121.5
518817.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4375020601001201403558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
15Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
35Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#38
15.00.7
15.915.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 7.1
8742
#22
22.10.6
22.922.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Second
4580
#34
12.80.7
11.711.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 8.7
9491
#14
21.50.6
20.620.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Third
4982
#32
11.80.7
13.312.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 6.1
5188
#33
17.90.6
18.718.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed