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Red157
86853.3
745434.0
448528.8
Blue118
349447.6
217120.6
400817.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228750100150200157118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
113Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points12
157Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
53.33.9
46.950.8
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 5.7
47.61.9
44.346.2
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Second
7454
#11
34.03.5
31.735.2
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
red by 13.4
2171
#26
20.61.6
19.421.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
4485
#21
28.83.5
25.228.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
red by 11.6
4008
#40
17.21.8
15.517.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned