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Red81
695621.6
427249.4
856417.7
Blue69
501034.6
348714.4
1033219.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10373501502008169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
51Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
81Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.7
50.049.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 14.8
5010
#18
34.60.1
35.135.0
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
6956
#25
21.60.7
22.321.6
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
red by 1.9
19.70.1
20.220.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Third
8564
#12
17.70.7
18.417.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 3.2
3487
#36
14.40.1
14.514.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed