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Red68
649816.6
843020.4
810324.2
Blue135
394049.6
4540.4
174728.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52128010015020068135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+59
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#5
6Processor points18
0Net points20
6Algae points38
53Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
68Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8103
#23
24.20.5
21.221.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 25.4
49.61.5
48.149.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
20.40.6
19.920.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 20.0
45
#4
40.41.4
36.838.1
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Third
6498
#39
16.60.6
16.016.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 12.1
1747
#13
28.71.5
27.228.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned