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Red44
7115.0
15299.9
945314.4
Blue81
150160.5
498211.8
979016.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311070501504481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+29
Endgame+43
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
30Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
6Foul points0
44Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#38
15.00.2
15.215.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 45.5
60.50.7
58.858.0
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
Second
9453
#31
14.40.1
12.212.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 2.2
9790
#24
16.60.8
17.416.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
1529
#30
9.90.2
10.09.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 1.9
4982
#32
11.80.8
12.611.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned