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Red145
810324.2
86853.3
150160.5
Blue50
29220.7
745434.0
518817.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153765010020014550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+87Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
6Coral scored#4
29Coral points20
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +78
15Coral scored#4
54Coral points16
4Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
24Processor points0
24Net points8
48Algae points8
102Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
145Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.3
58.058.3
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 26.5
7454
#11
34.00.6
35.234.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
868
#5
53.30.3
50.851.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 32.6
292
#19
20.70.6
21.921.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Third
8103
#23
24.20.3
21.722.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 6.3
5188
#33
17.90.6
19.118.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3