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Red74
501034.6
548427.2
1033219.7
Blue110
349447.6
1002133.6
217120.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871165010015020074110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points17
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
41Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
74Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#18
34.60.2
35.034.8
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
blue by 13.0
47.60.2
48.048.1
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Second
27.20.2
27.627.4
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
blue by 6.4
33.60.2
34.034.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Third
19.70.2
20.220.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 0.8
2171
#26
20.60.2
21.021.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8