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Red137
695621.6
427249.4
394049.6
Blue108
448528.8
23438.3
101821.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329050100150200137108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
102Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
137Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.4
49.649.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 11.4
234
#10
38.30.4
38.238.5
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
Second
49.40.4
49.349.7
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 20.6
4485
#21
28.80.4
28.729.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
Third
6956
#25
21.60.4
21.621.9
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
blue by 0.2
1018
#17
21.80.4
21.722.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2