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Red49
29220.7
745434.0
518817.9
Blue66
501034.6
548427.2
1033219.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78890501001502004966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
49Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7454
#11
34.00.6
34.634.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
blue by 0.6
5010
#18
34.60.4
34.834.5
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
292
#19
20.70.6
21.320.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
blue by 6.5
27.20.4
27.427.1
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Third
5188
#33
17.90.6
18.517.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
blue by 1.8
19.70.4
20.019.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9