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Red77
448528.8
23438.3
101821.8
Blue94
172023.7
174728.7
843020.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017540601201401601807794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
55Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points24
77Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#10
38.30.3
38.538.3
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
red by 9.6
1747
#13
28.70.1
28.528.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Second
4485
#21
28.80.3
29.128.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
red by 5.2
1720
#27
23.70.1
23.523.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
1018
#17
21.80.3
22.121.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 1.4
20.40.1
20.320.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3