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Red76
29242.7
1017216.6
1002915.3
Blue58
907119.7
152919.5
458017.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49401020306070807658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+32Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
55Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
76Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#19
42.71.9
20.722.6
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 23.0
9071
#32
19.70.9
13.114.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
16.61.9
11.413.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 2.9
1529
#24
19.50.9
9.910.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
15.31.9
6.98.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 2.4
4580
#39
17.70.9
12.813.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned