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Red112
7123.7
492643.5
943125.8
Blue89
953016.4
761751.9
174734.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5979204010012014011289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
76Total teleop69
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
112Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.53.5
25.328.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
blue by 8.4
7617
#30
51.91.8
31.132.9
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
9431
#18
25.83.5
15.519.1
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
blue by 8.8
1747
#20
34.61.1
28.729.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
Third
71
#34
23.73.5
15.018.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
red by 7.3
9530
#41
16.41.1
10.111.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed