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Red105
174155.7
1049219.5
393632.3
Blue61
498214.4
7123.7
13533.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096105015020010561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
78Total teleop36
Reef
10L4#4
3L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points2
105Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#10
55.70.3
54.054.3
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
red by 22.0
135
#23
33.70.3
26.726.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
3936
#36
32.30.3
25.625.9
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
red by 8.6
71
#34
23.70.3
18.618.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Third
19.50.5
14.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
red by 5.1
4982
#42
14.40.3
13.212.9
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed