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Red105
1049312.0
46147.7
1002138.2
Blue96
314714.5
152919.5
761751.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10756015020010596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
71Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
105Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#7
47.70.8
42.042.8
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
blue by 4.2
7617
#30
51.94.5
32.937.4
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
38.20.8
36.637.4
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
red by 18.7
1529
#24
19.52.7
10.813.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
12.01.3
14.916.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 2.6
3147
#37
14.52.7
12.014.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed