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Red57
1043419.6
953016.4
1017216.6
Blue80
1002915.3
44726.3
349457.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439401505780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
36Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
57Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.1
17.017.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 38.0
57.60.3
47.947.6
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
16.60.1
13.213.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 9.7
447
#33
26.30.3
19.419.1
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
Third
9530
#41
16.40.1
11.211.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 1.0
15.30.3
8.88.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned