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Red88
540244.1
458017.7
82937.2
Blue142
907119.7
492643.5
317644.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727340608010012014088142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
13Coral scored#21
45Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
65Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
88Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
44.11.7
27.929.7
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
blue by 0.8
44.94.8
20.625.5
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Second
829
#6
37.21.0
25.426.4
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
blue by 6.4
43.54.8
28.833.6
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Third
4580
#39
17.71.0
13.714.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 2.0
9071
#32
19.74.8
14.118.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned