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Red83
164635.1
719812.7
672134.8
Blue128
448540.4
911922.8
427264.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56111010015020083128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
64Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points0
83Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#28
35.11.2
15.917.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 29.8
64.92.2
49.451.6
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Second
6721
#16
34.81.2
18.519.7
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
blue by 5.5
4485
#13
40.42.2
28.831.0
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
Third
7198
#29
12.71.2
19.520.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 10.1
9119
#15
22.82.2
10.712.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned