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Red101
348729.0
498214.4
695633.2
Blue96
32833.7
393632.3
747718.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738505010015020025010196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
90Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
101Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#12
33.21.4
21.623.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
blue by 0.5
328
#14
33.70.2
25.926.0
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Second
3487
#17
29.01.4
14.415.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 3.3
3936
#36
32.30.2
25.525.6
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
Third
4982
#42
14.41.4
11.813.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 4.1
7477
#25
18.60.2
6.97.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed