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Red75
46147.7
314714.5
102437.2
Blue26
1049312.0
1041122.9
1049219.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995301502007526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
50Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
75Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#7
47.70.7
42.742.0
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
red by 24.8
22.91.7
16.214.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
37.20.8
30.029.2
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
red by 17.7
19.514.9
29.814.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
3147
#37
14.50.7
12.712.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
red by 2.6
12.03.5
11.414.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed