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Red150
745771.3
386521.3
1002138.2
Blue132
765726.8
174155.7
349457.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110143100200150132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +27
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
106Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
150Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.33.1
53.056.0
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
red by 13.7
57.60.4
47.647.9
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
38.23.1
33.636.6
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
blue by 17.5
1741
#10
55.70.4
53.754.0
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Third
3865
#27
21.33.1
17.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 5.5
7657
#22
26.80.6
25.225.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned