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Red49
174734.6
719812.7
911922.8
Blue116
747718.6
164635.1
745771.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7697406012014016049116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+69
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave9
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points25
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#12
14Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
24Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
49Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#20
34.61.0
29.828.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
blue by 36.7
71.32.4
56.058.4
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
Second
9119
#15
22.81.0
12.911.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 12.3
1646
#28
35.12.4
17.119.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
Third
7198
#29
12.71.0
20.719.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 5.9
7477
#25
18.62.4
7.19.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned