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Red130
1041122.9
427264.9
102437.2
Blue88
29242.7
695633.2
765726.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067505015020013088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
89Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
130Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.92.3
51.653.9
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 22.2
292
#19
42.71.1
22.623.7
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
37.22.3
29.231.5
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
red by 4.1
6956
#12
33.21.1
23.024.1
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
22.92.3
14.416.8
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 4.0
7657
#22
26.81.8
25.827.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed