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Red104
943125.8
32833.7
498214.4
Blue141
317644.9
672134.8
386521.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77854060100120140160104141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
91Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points4
104Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
328
#14
33.70.9
26.026.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
blue by 11.2
44.92.8
25.528.3
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Second
9431
#18
25.80.9
19.120.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
blue by 9.0
6721
#16
34.82.8
19.722.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
Third
4982
#42
14.40.9
12.913.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 6.9
3865
#27
21.32.8
20.623.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned