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Red153
761751.9
174155.7
907119.7
Blue167
348729.0
745771.3
911922.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210150150200250153167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
105Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#7
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points6
153Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#10
55.71.4
54.355.7
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
blue by 15.6
71.33.6
58.462.0
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
Second
7617
#30
51.92.4
37.439.8
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 22.9
3487
#17
29.03.6
15.819.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
9071
#32
19.71.4
18.920.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
blue by 3.1
9119
#15
22.83.6
11.915.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned