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Red72
1043419.6
174734.6
747718.6
Blue83
765726.8
448540.4
102437.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310401507283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
72Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#20
34.61.1
28.829.9
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
blue by 5.8
4485
#13
40.40.5
31.030.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
Second
19.61.1
17.118.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 17.7
37.20.5
31.531.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Third
7477
#25
18.61.1
9.510.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
blue by 8.3
7657
#22
26.80.8
27.726.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned