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Red111
719812.7
695633.2
427264.9
Blue61
152919.5
7123.7
1049219.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1124005010015020011161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points23
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
79Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
111Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.9
53.954.8
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 41.2
71
#34
23.70.9
18.319.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Second
6956
#12
33.20.9
24.125.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 13.7
19.51.5
15.417.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
7198
#29
12.70.9
19.720.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 6.8
1529
#24
19.50.9
13.514.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed