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Red109
29242.7
164635.1
44726.3
Blue147
1041122.9
349457.6
492643.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64118050100150200109147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
92Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#5
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
109Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#19
42.72.4
23.726.1
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
blue by 14.9
57.62.5
47.650.1
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
1646
#28
35.12.4
19.521.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 8.4
43.52.5
33.636.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Third
447
#33
26.32.4
19.121.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
red by 3.4
22.92.5
16.819.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned