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Red173
317644.9
911922.8
943125.8
Blue178
32833.7
13533.7
46147.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713750100150200173178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
24Coral scored#22
87Coral points80
2Processor algae#6
7Net algae#5
12Processor points36
28Net points20
40Algae points56
127Total teleop136
Reef
12L4#8
4L3#9
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points0
173Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.94.3
28.332.6
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
blue by 2.8
461
#7
47.72.4
43.345.8
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
9431
#18
25.84.3
20.024.2
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
blue by 7.9
135
#23
33.72.4
27.830.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
9119
#15
22.84.3
15.619.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 10.9
328
#14
33.72.4
26.929.3
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned