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Red122
174155.7
82937.2
672134.8
Blue70
174734.6
907119.7
765726.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119785010015012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+60Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
90Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
122Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#10
55.70.9
55.756.7
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
red by 21.1
1747
#20
34.60.7
29.929.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
Second
829
#6
37.20.9
27.027.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
red by 10.3
7657
#22
26.81.1
26.925.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Third
6721
#16
34.80.9
22.523.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 15.1
9071
#32
19.70.7
20.319.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned